Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.419927 7.481346 8.628899 9.957561 11.449153 13.067538 14.951760
2026-02-08 4.776056 6.140442 7.731753 9.708592 12.081109 14.819030 18.198430
2026-02-15 3.744592 5.208176 7.020116 9.395568 12.391830 16.007941 20.660352
2026-02-22 3.169312 4.711082 6.717144 9.465113 13.071621 17.579661 23.568020
2026-03-01 2.719182 4.295762 6.441499 9.497564 13.649701 18.998495 26.298735
2026-03-08 2.375331 3.970665 6.233373 9.571208 14.247672 20.432933 29.075034
2026-03-15 2.075005 3.662943 6.005573 9.577151 14.725484 21.701148 31.656646
2026-03-22 1.890725 3.504382 5.969351 9.837118 15.550690 23.453023 34.934962
2026-03-29 1.718659 3.340639 5.903138 10.035731 16.283132 25.091221 38.103355
2026-04-05 1.537735 3.137284 5.751576 10.084355 16.784968 26.410500 40.860459
2026-04-12 1.314130 2.829331 5.399931 9.788327 16.742415 26.932680 42.491649
2026-04-19 1.135108 2.576228 5.111181 9.562928 16.781743 27.558597 44.273988
2026-04-26 0.971957 2.331754 4.815335 9.305321 16.758180 28.094429 45.955450
2026-05-03 0.834091 2.116139 4.547179 9.069397 16.748101 28.640138 47.660019
2026-05-10 0.707497 1.903142 4.259923 8.773378 16.614539 28.978598 49.049824
2026-05-17 0.640406 1.807850 4.182914 8.839134 17.077128 30.252961 51.893435
2026-05-24 0.576971 1.710726 4.091792 8.869818 17.476671 31.435511 54.624509
2026-05-31 0.524374 1.630560 4.025714 8.939457 17.941737 32.733115 57.566539
2026-06-07 0.471479 1.540839 3.930494 8.945077 18.291015 33.849692 60.249896
2026-06-14 0.444280 1.512138 3.960120 9.190951 19.073658 35.697164 64.140418
2026-06-21 0.414585 1.472073 3.961018 9.378841 19.757561 37.399124 67.838877
2026-06-28 0.377086 1.404225 3.893774 9.424846 20.182456 38.677779 70.882746
2026-07-05 0.321944 1.275266 3.674503 9.144799 19.988842 38.900002 72.203739